January 7, 2021


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Will Rook and Adam Drury provide their football tips for Saturday’s matches in the FA Cup third round, League Two and La Liga.

WIN/DRAW/WIN

Norwich to beat Coventry (12:00)

Norwich beat Barnsley 1-0 last weekend, meaning they have won six and drawn one of their last eight matches.

The Canaries are unbeaten in 10 matches at Carrow Road, having won seven of those, and have the third-best home record in the Championship.

Coventry have won two away games out of 10 this season and have lost two of their last three.

Burnley to beat MK Dons (15:00)

Burnley’s 1-0 victory at home to Sheffield United was their third in five matches and means they have lost one in six.

The Clarets have also won three and drawn one of their last four at Turf Moor.

League One MK Dons have lost two of their last three away games and three of their last four cup ties against higher-league opposition.

Fulham to beat QPR (15:00)

Fulham have shown greater defensive solidity of late in the Premier League, drawing four straight matches and conceding just twice – a run that includes games against Liverpool and Southampton.

The Cottagers only defeat in their last six came against Manchester City last month, while they also beat Leicester as part of that sequence.

QPR are currently on a nine-match winless run in the league – longer than any other side in the Championship.

Swansea to beat Stevenage (15:00)

Swansea come into this on the back of a 2-1 victory over promotion-chasers Watford.

Steve Cooper’s side have only dropped two points in their last four league games, while they have lost just two in 12.

Stevenage are third-bottom of League Two and have won just three of their last 22 matches in all competitions.

Brentford to beat Middlesbrough (18:00)

Brentford had been unbeaten in 16 matches in all competitions prior to their 2-0 defeat at Tottenham in midweek.

Thomas Frank’s side had won each of their last four, while they haven’t lost in 10 games at home.

Middlesbrough have been unable to train for the week and will be without a number of first-teamers, who are currently self-isolating.

BTTS

Carlisle v Leyton Orient (13:00)

Carlisle have scored in nine of their last 11 matches.

Chris Beech’s side drew 3-3 with Bolton last time out at home, and have seen BTTS land in eight of their last 10 home games.

Leyton Orient have scored and conceded in six of their last seven away matches.

Granada v Barcelona (17:30)

Barcelona have found some form recently, scoring in seven consecutive matches, including a 3-2 win at Athletic Bilbao on Wednesday.

A Granada goal should see this one land, and looks likely considering that they have netted in six of their last seven home games.

The hosts have seen BTTS land in five of those matches.

MYTHBUSTER

Blackpool to win or draw v West Brom & under 3.5 goals (15:00)

West Brom look a good bet to be the victim of an FA Cup shock at Blackpool on Saturday.

The Baggies are winless in four under Sam Allardyce, losing heavily to Aston Villa, Leeds and Arsenal in three of those matches. This game is unlikely to be high on their priority list.

Blackpool have won five and drawn one of their last six home matches, keeping five clean sheets on that run.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER

Aleksandar Mitrovic (Fulham) to score v QPR (15:00)

Mitrovic has been sitting on the Fulham bench in the Premier League, but should get a start here.

The Serbian has proved himself against this standard of defence, scoring 26 goals in the Championship last season.

He is still top for shots per game in the Fulham squad this term, despite his inaction. He can score against a QPR side that have conceded in six of their last seven home games.

Mason Greenwood (Manchester United) to score v Watford (20:00)

With several of Manchester United’s first team likely to be rested, Greenwood looks a terrific bet to start and score against Championship opposition.

Ten of the 19-year-old’s last 21 goals have come in cup competitions, and he netted against Luton in the EFL Cup earlier this season.

Watford have conceded twice in both of their last two away games. They conceded at least three goals in four of their six away matches against the Big Six in the Premier League last season – including at Old Trafford, with Greenwood on the scoresheet.

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