I recreated my poisson distributor program to fit in EURO 2020. However the data from 3 gamed group stages did not give me what I want. So I included FIFA RANKING POINTS and recalculated that into goal expectancy.
Some headlines from my program: https://imgur.com/a/IJ80FJP , https://imgur.com/W2YHjhC (yesterday’s game)
France’s game: https://imgur.com/a/F0jISpd
TOTAL FIXTURE: https://imgur.com/a/bBESQul (Winner : Italy)
NOTE: This is just an experimental calculation with FIFA ranking points. I do not recommend gambling on these results. If anyone seriously intrested my poisson program and want to download, contact me.
(FIFA ranking points are used in distribution with dividing acordingly and added to goal expectancy.) The good thing is you can adjust the effect from 0% to 200%.
What do you think about rationalizing National Team Data’s ? If anyone has another idea I would love to hear!